Three Inside Up

BullishReversalIntermediate

A harami, then a third candle that closes above the red candle's open.

Verdict: CautionBitcoin 4H: 20 trades, won 60%, avg trade +1.4% vs random day +0.3%. Backtest

Downtrend
Three Inside Up: textbook shape, step by step

Price is falling. Sellers are in control.

step 1/7

Trade rules

DirectionLong (buy)
EntryAfter a decline and a bullish harami, the very next candle CLOSES above the first candle's open.
Cancelled ifThat third candle trades below the pattern's low, or doesn't close above the first candle's open.
Target2x the pattern, projected from the breakout
3 common mistakes
  • Buying the harami itself: the third candle is the signal.
  • Accepting a third candle that only closes inside the red body.
  • Waiting for more candles after a weak third one: if it misses, the pattern is gone.

Backtest

same rules every time · equal size · no fees · method
MarketTradesWonAvg tradeRandom day
Bitcoin · 4H · 2017-20262060%+1.44%+0.32%
US large caps (50) · 1D · 2016-202618351%+0.61%+0.72%

Verdict: CautionBeat a random entry in some markets, not in others.

pattern +29%random +6.4%
Bitcoin 4H: pattern +29% vs random day +6.4% over 20 trades
pattern +112%random +131%
US large caps (50) 1D: pattern +112% vs random day +131% over 183 trades

Real examples

Bitcoin · 4H

Breakout Mar 14, 2022, exit Mar 16, 2022 (target)+6.54%
Red candle openDowntrend42,594 · Mar 9, 2022Harami37,555 · Mar 13, 2022Third candle
Bitcoin 4H, real candles from Mar 9, 2022

Thermo Fisher · 1D

Breakout Mar 15, 2022, exit Mar 18, 2022 (target)+7.21%
Red candle openDowntrend608.71 · Feb 2, 2022Harami528.93 · Mar 11, 2022Third candle
Thermo Fisher 1D, real candles from Feb 2, 2022

Nike · 1D

trapBreakout Apr 28, 2022, exit May 5, 2022 (stop)−5.71%
Red candle openDowntrend139.86 · Mar 30, 2022Harami120.48 · Apr 26, 2022Third candle
Nike 1D, real candles from Mar 30, 2022