Kupach Trading

Bearish Harami

BearishReversalBeginner

A small candle inside a big green one. The buying stalls, then you wait for proof.

Verdict: SkipBitcoin 4H: 32 trades, won 44%, avg trade −0.8% vs random day −0.3%. Backtest

Uptrend
Bearish Harami: textbook shape, step by step

Price is rising, one higher close after another.

step 1/7

Trade rules

DirectionShort (sell)
EntryAfter a rise, a candle CLOSES below the pattern's low within 3 candles.
Cancelled ifPrice trades above the pattern's high before that close.
Target2x the pattern, projected from the breakout
3 common mistakes
  • Shorting the small red candle: it only shows the buying paused.
  • Accepting a second body that pokes outside the green body.
  • Using a small green candle: the harami needs a long green body to sit inside.

Backtest

same rules every time · equal size · no fees · method
MarketTradesWonAvg tradeRandom day
Bitcoin · 4H · 2017-20263244%−0.82%−0.30%
US large caps (50) · 1D · 2016-202621744%−0.62%−0.60%

Verdict: SkipLost money on average in every market tested.

pattern −26%random −9.7%
Bitcoin 4H: pattern −26% vs random day −9.7% over 32 trades
pattern −135%random −129%
US large caps (50) 1D: pattern −135% vs random day −129% over 217 trades

Real examples

Bitcoin · 4H

Breakout Oct 14, 2025, exit Oct 14, 2025 (target)+2.26%
Pattern lowUptrend102,000 · Oct 10, 2025Harami115,891 · Oct 13, 2025Confirmed
Bitcoin 4H, real candles from Oct 10, 2025

Netflix · 1D

Breakout Sep 3, 2020, exit Sep 10, 2020 (target)+7.59%
Pattern lowUptrend46.65 · Aug 11, 2020Harami55.74 · Sep 1, 2020Confirmed
Netflix 1D, real candles from Aug 11, 2020

Netflix · 1D

trapBreakout Jun 26, 2020, exit Jul 1, 2020 (stop)−7.36%
Pattern lowUptrend39.79 · May 27, 2020Harami47.40 · Jun 22, 2020Confirmed
Netflix 1D, real candles from May 27, 2020