Bearish Kicker
BearishReversalIntermediateA green candle, then a red one that opens below it and never looks back.
Verdict: SkipBitcoin 4H: 0 trades, won —, avg trade — vs random day — (too few trades to judge). Backtest
Price is rising, and here comes another green candle. Buyers look comfortable.
step 1/6
Trade rules
| Direction | Short (sell) |
|---|---|
| Entry | After a rally: a green candle, then a red candle (body at least 70% of its range) that opens below the green candle's open and never trades back up to it. A candle CLOSES below the red candle's low within 3 candles. |
| Cancelled if | Price trades above the green candle's open (the gap closes) before that close. |
| Target | 2x the pattern, projected from the breakout |
3 common mistakes
- Calling it a kicker when the red candle only opens below the green candle's close.
- Ignoring the gap: if price trades back into the green body, the kick failed.
- Shorting a kicker in the middle of a range, with no rally to reverse.
Backtest
same rules every time · equal size · no fees · method| Market | Trades | Won | Avg trade | Random day |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin · 4H · 2017-2026 · too few trades to judge | 0 | — | — | — |
| US large caps (50) · 1D · 2016-2026 | 20 | 50% | −0.15% | −1.10% |
Verdict: SkipLost money on average on US large caps. Bitcoin had too few signals to judge.
pattern −3.0%random −22%