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Falling Three Methods
4HshortCollecting 0/20default strategy · version 1 · paper since Oct 9, 2026 · falling-three-methods-4hShort on every Falling Three Methods breakout on 4H, all coins. Enter at the breakout close, stop at the pattern stop, target at the pattern target, exit after the pattern’s hold. Risk 1% of the account per trade, no leverage.
Paper vs backtest
| Measure | Paper | Backtest |
|---|---|---|
| Closed trades | 0 | 101 |
| Won | — | 39.6% |
| Avg R (net) | — | −0.06R |
| Net per trade | — | −1.32% |
| Profit factor | — | 0.84 |
| Max drawdown | — | −12.6% |
Mean R, 95% range: paper not enough trades · backtest −0.23R to +0.10R
Paper account
$10,0000.0%started $10,000 · 0 closed tradesNo closed trades yet.
Backtest · 101 trades · cumulative R
−6.4R
Open positions 0 · P&L at the live price
No open positions.
Closed trades 0 · newest first
No closed trades yet.
Skipped 0 signals: 0 with a position already open on that coin, 0 late.
By coin
Trades · avg R. Does one coin carry the result?
| Coin | Paper | Backtest |
|---|---|---|
| ADA | — | 15 · −0.43R |
| AVAX | — | 13 · −0.27R |
| BNB | — | 9 · +0.02R |
| BTC | — | 7 · +0.59R |
| DOGE | — | 6 · +0.59R |
| ETH | — | 10 · +0.32R |
| LINK | — | 9 · −0.51R |
| QNT | — | 5 · +0.31R |
| SOL | — | 9 · −0.23R |
| TRX | — | 9 · −0.20R |
| XRP | — | 3 · +0.53R |
| ZEC | — | 6 · −0.39R |
Fees 0.05% and slippage 0.02% on both sides are included. Trades are entered only at the breakout close; a breakout seen later is skipped, never backfilled. Past results, not a forecast. Not financial advice. Method