Three Outside Down

1HshortCollecting 2/20default strategy · version 1 · paper since Oct 9, 2026 · three-outside-down-1h

Short on every Three Outside Down breakout on 1H, all coins. Enter at the breakout close, stop at the pattern stop, target at the pattern target, exit after the pattern’s hold. Risk 1% of the account per trade, no leverage.

How the Three Outside Down pattern works →

Paper vs backtest

Measure	Paper	Backtest
Closed trades	2	3,804
Won	0.0%	45.3%
Avg R (net)	−1.32R	−0.12R
Net per trade	−1.17%	−0.13%
Profit factor	0.00	0.78
Max drawdown	−2.6%	−99.3%

Mean R, 95% range: paper −1.80R to −0.84R · backtest −0.16R to −0.09R

Paper account

$9,738−2.6%started $10,000 · 2 closed trades

9,738

Backtest · 3,804 trades · cumulative R

−468.9R

Open positions 2 · P&L at the live price

Coin	Opened	Entry	Stop	Target	Now	P&L	Bars left
DOGE	Oct 10, 08:00 UTC	0.0861	0.0867	0.0851	0.0862	−0.29R · −$28	18 / 20
QNT	Oct 9, 17:00 UTC	245.10	257.26	235.21	250.56	−0.48R · −$46	3 / 20

Closed trades 2 · newest first

Closed	Coin	Entry → exit	Reason	R	Net	$
Oct 9, 12:00 UTC	ADA	0.2369 → 0.2412	stop	−1.08R	−1.95%	−$106
Oct 9, 12:00 UTC	BTC	82,567 → 82,772	stop	−1.56R	−0.39%	−$156

Skipped 0 signals: 0 with a position already open on that coin, 0 late.

By coin

Trades · avg R. Does one coin carry the result?

Coin	Paper	Backtest
ADA	1 · −1.08R	329 · −0.09R
AVAX	—	295 · −0.10R
BNB	—	367 · −0.14R
BTC	1 · −1.56R	383 · −0.29R
DOGE	—	324 · −0.08R
ETH	—	330 · −0.17R
GRAM	—	33 · +0.12R
LINK	—	297 · −0.03R
QNT	—	257 · −0.16R
SOL	—	341 · −0.18R
TRX	—	251 · −0.26R
XRP	—	321 · +0.04R
ZEC	—	276 · −0.03R

Fees 0.05% and slippage 0.02% on both sides are included. Trades are entered only at the breakout close; a breakout seen later is skipped, never backfilled. Past results, not a forecast. Not financial advice. Method