Diamond Bottom

BullishReversalAdvanced

Wild swings that tighten into a diamond, then buyers break out.

No verdictBitcoin 4H: 2 trades, won 50%, avg trade +3.2% vs random day +1.2% (too few trades to judge). Backtest

Diamond Bottom: textbook shape, step by step

Price falls into a low, then bounces.

step 1/6

Trade rules

DirectionLong (buy)
EntryAfter the right-side lower high is confirmed, a candle CLOSES above the upper-right line (from the highest high through that lower high), within that side's length plus 5 candles.
Cancelled ifPrice trades below the right-side higher low before that close.
TargetWidest part, projected from the breakout
3 common mistakes
  • Buying while the swings are still getting wider.
  • Calling any messy range a diamond: you need the wide middle and the squeeze after it.
  • Forgetting it needs a decline into it to be a bottom.

Backtest

same rules every time · equal size · no fees · method
MarketTradesWonAvg tradeRandom day
Bitcoin · 4H · 2017-2026 · too few trades to judge250%+3.19%+1.23%
US large caps (50) · 1D · 2016-2026 · too few trades to judge1429%−0.82%+2.49%

No verdictNot enough signals to judge.

Real examples

Bitcoin · 12H

Breakout Mar 2, 2026, exit Mar 17, 2026 (target)+9.11%
Upper-right lineLower low62,510 · Feb 24, 2026Higher high69,989 · Feb 25, 2026Higher low63,030 · Feb 27, 2026Lower high68,200 · Feb 28, 2026Breakout
Bitcoin 12H, real candles from Feb 15, 2026

Costco · 1W

Breakout Mar 16, 2023, exit Oct 3, 2023 (target)+17.70%
Upper-right lineLower low447.90 · Dec 30, 2022Higher high530.05 · Jan 31, 2023Higher low465.33 · Mar 1, 2023Lower high495.21 · Mar 1, 2023Breakout
Costco 1W, real candles from Nov 30, 2022

Salesforce · 1D

trapBreakout May 1, 2026, exit May 13, 2026 (stop)−7.94%
Upper-right lineLower low163.52 · Apr 10, 2026Higher high193.56 · Apr 21, 2026Higher low170.65 · Apr 23, 2026Lower high184.42 · Apr 28, 2026Breakout
Salesforce 1D, real candles from Mar 17, 2026