Triple Bottom

BullishReversalIntermediate

Sellers hit the same floor three times and run out of ammo.

Verdict: UseBitcoin 4H: 1 trades, won 0%, avg trade −10.8% vs random day +1.1% (too few trades to judge). Backtest

Bottom 1
Triple Bottom: textbook shape, step by step

Price falls to a low, and buyers bounce it.

step 1/7

Trade rules

DirectionLong (buy)
EntryAfter the third bottom is confirmed (a full 4% swing on Bitcoin, 5% on stocks), a candle CLOSES above the higher of the two peaks, within the time between bottom 2 and bottom 3 plus 5 candles.
Cancelled ifPrice trades below the lowest of the three bottoms before that close.
TargetSame height, projected from the breakout
3 common mistakes
  • Buying the third bottom before resistance breaks.
  • Using the lower peak as resistance: the pattern breaks at the higher one.
  • Ignoring the trend: a triple bottom needs a decline before it to reverse.

Backtest

same rules every time · equal size · no fees · method
MarketTradesWonAvg tradeRandom day
Bitcoin · 4H · 2017-2026 · too few trades to judge10%−10.79%+1.05%
US large caps (50) · 1D · 2016-20262186%+4.48%+1.47%

Verdict: UseMade money and beat a random entry on US large caps. Bitcoin had too few signals to judge.

pattern +94%random +31%
US large caps (50) 1D: pattern +94% vs random day +31% over 21 trades

Real examples

Adobe · 1D

Breakout Nov 11, 2022, exit Feb 2, 2023 (target)+16.60%
ResistanceBottom 1274.73 · Sep 27, 2022Bottom 2276.60 · Oct 13, 2022Bottom 3278.23 · Nov 4, 2022Highest peak330.58 · Oct 26, 2022Breakout
Adobe 1D, real candles from Sep 12, 2022