Double Bottom
BullishReversalBeginnerTwo failed attempts to break the same low. The floor holds.
Verdict: SkipBitcoin 4H: 20 trades, won 45%, avg trade −0.8% vs random day +0.9%. Backtest
Price sells off hard and hits a low. Then buyers step in and bounce it.
step 1/7
Trade rules
| Direction | Long (buy) |
|---|---|
| Entry | A candle CLOSE above the peak (resistance). |
| Cancelled if | Price closes below the lower of the two bottoms. |
| Target | Same height, projected from the breakout |
3 common mistakes
- Buying the second bottom before resistance breaks.
- Bottoms too close together in time: that's noise, not a pattern.
- Ignoring the weak 1:1 reward-to-risk.
Backtest
same rules every time · equal size · no fees · method| Market | Trades | Won | Avg trade | Random day |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin · 4H · 2017-2026 | 20 | 45% | −0.84% | +0.93% |
| US large caps (50) · 1D · 2016-2026 | 160 | 59% | +0.39% | +1.64% |
Verdict: SkipLost money on Bitcoin. On stocks it made a little, but a random day made four times more.
pattern −17%random +19%
pattern +63%random +263%