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Bear Flag

4HshortCollecting 0/20default strategy · version 1 · paper since Oct 9, 2026 · bear-flag-4h

Short on every Bear Flag breakout on 4H, all coins. Enter at the breakout close, stop at the pattern stop, target at the pattern target, exit after the pattern’s hold. Risk 1% of the account per trade, no leverage.

How the Bear Flag pattern works →

Paper vs backtest

MeasurePaperBacktest
Closed trades0342
Won—41.5%
Avg R (net)—−0.01R
Net per trade—−0.42%
Profit factor—0.99
Max drawdown—−28.6%

Mean R, 95% range: paper not enough trades · backtest −0.14R to +0.13R

Paper account

$10,0000.0%started $10,000 · 0 closed trades

No closed trades yet.

Backtest · 342 trades · cumulative R

−2.0R

Open positions 0 · P&L at the live price

No open positions.

Closed trades 0 · newest first

No closed trades yet.

Skipped 0 signals: 0 with a position already open on that coin, 0 late.

By coin

Trades · avg R. Does one coin carry the result?

CoinPaperBacktest
ADA—29 · +0.23R
AVAX—29 · −0.44R
BNB—30 · −0.33R
BTC—20 · −0.17R
DOGE—35 · −0.00R
ETH—24 · −0.20R
LINK—33 · +0.17R
QNT—15 · +0.19R
SOL—25 · −0.07R
TRX—32 · +0.11R
XRP—42 · −0.09R
ZEC—28 · +0.54R

Fees 0.05% and slippage 0.02% on both sides are included. Trades are entered only at the breakout close; a breakout seen later is skipped, never backfilled. Past results, not a forecast. Not financial advice. Method