Bullish Crab
BullishReversalAdvancedA crash to 161.8% of the first leg, far below the start. Then the bounce.
No verdictBitcoin 4H: 0 trades, won —, avg trade — vs random day — (too few trades to judge). Backtest
Price bottoms at X and rallies to A.
step 1/8
Trade rules
| Direction | Long (buy) |
|---|---|
| Entry | B at 38.2-61.8% of XA, C at 38.2-88.6% of AB, D at 161.8% of XA (below X) with CD 2.24-3.618x BC (each ±5%). Once price bounces 2% off D (2.5% on stocks), a candle CLOSES above the high of the D candle within 5 candles. |
| Cancelled if | Price trades below D before that close. No pattern if price climbs back above C before D, falls more than 5% past the 161.8% level, or D takes longer than X to C took. |
| Target | 61.8% of A to D, projected from the breakout |
3 common mistakes
- Buying at 127% because it looks low enough: the Crab's D is at 161.8%.
- Skipping the confirmation close in a falling market.
- Trading a Crab with a tiny X to A leg: the ratios mean nothing on noise.
Backtest
same rules every time · equal size · no fees · method| Market | Trades | Won | Avg trade | Random day |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin · 4H · 2017-2026 · too few trades to judge | 0 | — | — | — |
| US large caps (50) · 1D · 2016-2026 · too few trades to judge | 2 | 100% | +12.73% | +2.10% |
No verdictNot enough signals to judge.