Bullish Gartley

BullishReversalAdvanced

Four Fibonacci legs. The last one dips to 78.6% of the first, and turns.

No verdictBitcoin 4H: 4 trades, won 100%, avg trade +3.4% vs random day +0.3% (too few trades to judge). Backtest

XA
Bullish Gartley: textbook shape, step by step

Price bottoms at X, then rallies hard to A. That rally is the ruler for every other leg.

step 1/8

Trade rules

DirectionLong (buy)
EntryB at 61.8% of XA, C at 38.2-88.6% of AB, D at 78.6% of XA with CD 1.27-1.618x BC (each ±5%). Once price bounces 2% off D (2.5% on stocks), a candle CLOSES above the high of the D candle within 5 candles.
Cancelled ifPrice trades below D before that close. No pattern if price climbs back above C before D, falls more than 5% past the 78.6% level, or D takes longer than X to C took.
Target61.8% of A to D, projected from the breakout
3 common mistakes
  • Buying at D before price shows any bounce.
  • Accepting a B at 50% or 70%: then it isn't a Gartley.
  • Putting the stop under D: X is where the pattern is proven wrong.

Backtest

same rules every time · equal size · no fees · method
MarketTradesWonAvg tradeRandom day
Bitcoin · 4H · 2017-2026 · too few trades to judge4100%+3.37%+0.30%
US large caps (50) · 1D · 2016-2026 · too few trades to judge978%+1.41%+0.84%

No verdictNot enough signals to judge.

Real examples

Bitcoin · 4H

Breakout Nov 3, 2024, exit Nov 6, 2024 (target)+3.63%
D candle highX65,596 · Oct 25, 2024A73,620 · Oct 29, 2024B68,830 · Nov 1, 2024C71,633 · Nov 1, 2024D67,479 · Nov 3, 2024Entry
Bitcoin 4H, real candles from Oct 25, 2024

Visa · 1W

Breakout Dec 5, 2016, exit Jan 5, 2017 (target)+4.26%
D candle highX73.25 · Jun 22, 2016A83.96 · Nov 4, 2016B77.30 · Nov 11, 2016C81.78 · Nov 18, 2016D75.17 · Nov 28, 2016Entry
Visa 1W, real candles from Jun 27, 2016

Salesforce · 1D

trapBreakout Aug 24, 2022, exit Aug 25, 2022 (stop)−7.06%
D candle highX169.76 · Jul 26, 2022A194.37 · Aug 8, 2022B179.82 · Aug 9, 2022C192.50 · Aug 11, 2022D174.91 · Aug 23, 2022Entry
Salesforce 1D, real candles from Jul 26, 2022