Symmetrical Triangle

BullishContinuationIntermediate

After a rally, swings get smaller from both sides. Then the coil releases.

Verdict: UseBitcoin 4H: 1 trades, won 0%, avg trade −4.7% vs random day +0.2% (too few trades to judge). Backtest

Uptrend
Symmetrical Triangle: textbook shape, step by step

It starts with a rally. Price runs up, then stops to catch its breath.

step 1/6

Trade rules

DirectionLong (buy)
EntryAfter a prior advance, a candle CLOSE above the line through the two falling highs, before the lines meet.
Cancelled ifPrice trades below the last higher low before the breakout.
TargetWidest part, projected from the breakout
3 common mistakes
  • Guessing the direction inside the triangle instead of waiting for the break.
  • Ignoring the trend before it: without a prior rally there is nothing to continue.
  • Trading a break right at the tip, where the lines meet and the pattern has lost its meaning.

Backtest

same rules every time · equal size · no fees · method
MarketTradesWonAvg tradeRandom day
Bitcoin · 4H · 2017-2026 · too few trades to judge10%−4.72%+0.22%
US large caps (50) · 1D · 2016-20262352%+3.13%+2.67%

Verdict: UseMade money and beat a random entry on US large caps. Bitcoin had too few signals to judge.

pattern +72%random +61%
US large caps (50) 1D: pattern +72% vs random day +61% over 23 trades

Real examples

Amazon · 1D

Breakout Sep 10, 2024, exit Sep 23, 2024 (target)+7.72%
Uptrend151.61 · Aug 5, 2024Lower high179.88 · Sep 5, 2024Higher low171.16 · Sep 6, 2024Breakout
Amazon 1D, real candles from Aug 5, 2024

AMD · 1D

trapBreakout Apr 27, 2020, exit Apr 29, 2020 (stop)−4.30%
Uptrend41.70 · Apr 3, 2020Lower high57.29 · Apr 23, 2020Higher low54.42 · Apr 24, 2020Breakout
AMD 1D, real candles from Apr 3, 2020